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Tariffs On Products From Mexico [⚠️ ADMIN WARNING: NO POLITICS, ONLY POLICY DISCUSSIONS]

32spoke

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I have lost two customers from fentanyl and I really likes both of them. I live in California, and unless someone is willing to eliminate drug precursors being shipped from their country of origin, and unless there is a drug interdiction process that begins to become far more effective, it will continue to kill a bunch of young adults.
 

WKTJR1

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Not so quick. Trump cited drugs and illegal immigration, pulling out the national security card. He can’t be challenged on that.
I don't disagree but, automakers would likely sue the government under trade agreements, tying the policy up in courts. The ripple effect of higher costs would disrupt the industry, putting American jobs and economic stability at risk. How much economic pain will people put up with to solve this issue?
 

dunder

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If we figured out how to slow the flow of illegal guns into Mexico, then I bet they’d be more interested in slowing the flow of drugs into the US.
 
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UPTooShort

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The flow of drugs is only in response to the demand. America loves drugs. Both sides can close the southern border, but the drugs will still come in, until the demand goes away.
 

oxi

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I recall the chicken tax years ago that forced Toyota to work with GM at the NUMMI plant to build Toyota pickups in Fremont, Ca. to avoid the 25% hike in price.

Since then, the passage of NAFTA defined vehicles built in Mexico and Canada to be North American built, thus not an import. That is how the Big 3 got away with building so many vehicles abroad.

The top 3 biggest auto importers into the U.S. were GM, Chrysler and Ford in that order back in the 1990's or so. I recall the day I could drive and park my 1997 2wd Tacoma in the local UAW lot, that stated "only North American union-built vehicles allowed." Those were the days.

Trump threatened tariffs on Toyota in 2017 when Toyota built the new plant down in Mexico. Nothing came of it.

Looks like the new President of Mexico is already working with Trump to curb cartels, illegals and so forth to avoid the tariff.

I have had the luxury of owning a UAW built Tacoma (2010 SR5 Fremont, Ca.)and a non-UAW built Tacoma (2016 SR San Antonio, Tx.) before my new Mexican made Tacoma. All I can say, no difference with any of them. Solid built units, some fit/ finish with my new 2024, but it is running strong.
 

socaltubbs

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A good discussion and a lot to think about for people considering a Tacoma. I'm glad to see that we really can talk like adults on the internet, even though I hesitated to start this discussion.

At this point it is all just speculation and it will be interesting to see where this goes. I don't think we will know one way or another for a while yet, but significant price increases could be on the way for our favorite trucks.
While I too agree that all of the tariff talk is just speculation, markets do respond to speculation. I could see dealers and the media taking this as an opportunity to "Light a Fire" for some impulse buying. "Buy now before the Trump tariffs" could be the line we hear. If this is successful, we could see a demand spike and a corresponding increase in sale prices well before any tariff is implemented. Buyers hold the key here. Be a patient and smart consumer is the prudent plan.
 

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bump
Trump starts tariffs on Mexican & Canadian imports Today
 
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TacoFreak

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Yep - it will be interesting to see how Toyota handles that. I bought some wood from Canada that had tariffs applied in 2017. That was passed directly on to me, just like a new tax and it cost me a lot of money.

I don't see how Toyota can afford to absorb a 25% tariff, but I also don't see people being willing to pay 25% more than current prices. It puts Toyota in a tough spot and no doubt makes them wish they had kept Taco production in Texas.
 

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Is it economic policy or the consumer creating our trade deficit? Consumers speak with the wallet, the US consumer wants cheap stuff and is happy when they get it.

In the end it seems like no matter what, price increases will get passed to the consumer. Will foreign business and other countries suffer, yes. But I'm neither of those, I can't fathom supporting tarrifs.
That’s a good question. It’s both. However, The answer lies in the fact that the consumer, in aggregate, is really smart and will always seek the best value. This is the economic theory of the invisible hand that controls market activity. When policy changes the marketplace, consumers adjust and tend to choose cheaper substitutes.

In this case, maybe they settle for a Ranger instead of buying a Tacoma. Fewer Tacoma’s will be sold and more rangers will be sold. We call that a shift in market demand.
The shift hurts the importer but supports the domestic manufacturer.
 

oxi

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Trump threatened tariffs on Toyota back in 2017 when Toyota decided to build the Tacoma plant in Guadalajara, Mexico.

Tariffs would work if Trump eliminated income taxes. I say that with buying my TRD Sport last April. My next purchase will be another Corolla or Camry down the road, both are made in U.S.

The off shoring of our manufacturing by both wings of the same bird over the decades for this "globalization" push is the culprit. Our manufacturing base has fled for cheaper wages and less regulations for the growth spot of the world, SE Asia.

If Trump could reduce regulations and overly strick environmental rules (and I mean the real dumb ones), it would give manufacturers a chance to come back to on shore manufacturing. Covid nonsense forced manufacturers not to put all of their eggs in one basket and move manufacturing away from hubs like the PRC.

We shall see how this plays out. Maybe these nations being tariffed will comply to Trump's demands at the U.S. borders.

Now, I work for an actual manufacturer, in a small town with over 1,600 employees on our campus. We just discussed the tariff issue last week at our end of the year results meetings. This will put more energy into finding better deals and contracts with other suppliers. We will have to absorb the higher costs by cutting somewhere on the balance sheet.

The world we live in folks. I agree with Trump, and then I do not agree. I agree with his "we have been getting ripped off" but not so sure of tariffs at this juncture. But something has to be done, regardless. Our national debt needs to be addressed, maybe DOGE can and hopefully will cut the darn federal budget.
 

AZTaco

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I don't think $50,000 Tacomas are going to go to $62,500. The 25% tariff is on Mexican/Canadian products. The Tacomas are actually about 1/3 US content, 1/3 Japan content, and 1/3 Mex/Cad content.

The Tariff is what the distributor pays. Assuming 11% profit, they pay about $44K. Of that 1/3 is Mex/Cad and would get tariffed. About $3,700.

But the distributor/dealer has $6K profit and that $44K dealer cost? Toyota made 11% profit on that. Between Toyota and the dealer there is about $11K in profit. Between the two will they absorb all of the tariff? Not likely, but maybe half.

Also, Rangers and Colorados are about 50% US, 25% Mex/Cad, and 25% other (possibly China). They're going to get tariffed too.
 
 



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